The initial full Saturday of the college football season has concluded, and the focus is already on the College Football Playoff race.
It’s just the first week of games, leading to inevitable overreactions. However, the new 12-team CFP format is hard to disregard, as every Football Bowl Subdivision team now has a shot at making the field. After just one week of action, there are some key takeaways that will impact the CFP race throughout the season.
Below are five lessons related to the Playoff from Week 1.
1. Expect some lopsided outcomes in December.
Historically, one of the concerns with the four-team CFP was the potential for blowout games, particularly in the semifinals or championship game when dominant teams faced off against lesser opponents. The recent Georgia vs. Clemson matchup was a prime example, with Georgia emerging as a dominant force with a 34-3 victory.
Georgia’s strong performance solidified their status as a Playoff contender, possibly as an SEC champion or through at-large selection. With a tough schedule ahead, Georgia’s path to the Playoffs seems promising.
On the other hand, Clemson’s offensive struggles raise doubts about their championship aspirations, but the expanded 12-team format keeps their hopes alive if they win the ACC.
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Clemson’s future in the CFP race seems uncertain following their Week 1 performance.
2. Miami shines in the ACC landscape.
While other ACC teams struggled in the opening week, Miami displayed a dominant performance against Florida, positioning themselves as a strong contender in the conference. With a favorable schedule and standout players, Miami is a popular pick to make a Playoff run.
According to projections, Miami’s chances in the Playoff race are significantly higher compared to Clemson and Florida State, who faced setbacks in Week 1.
ACC title and Playoff odds (Sept. 1)
Find all CFP projections here
3. Penn State emerges as a contender.
Penn State’s impressive win against West Virginia showcased their potential as a serious Playoff contender. The team’s improved offense and strong defense make them a formidable force this season.
With a promising start, Penn State’s chances in the Playoff race have significantly increased.
4. Notre Dame’s path to the Playoff.
As an independent team, Notre Dame’s route to the Playoff may seem unconventional. However, their strong start and favorable schedule position them as favorites to qualify for the Playoff.
With each game becoming crucial, Notre Dame’s journey to the Playoff looks promising after their Week 1 victory.
5. Group of 5 teams face challenges.
The Group of 5 favorites experienced some close calls in Week 1, highlighting the competitive nature of their conferences. With upcoming matchups against Power 4 teams, the Group of 5 teams will need to maintain their performance to remain in Playoff contention.
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