2024 marks a new era for college football’s postseason with the introduction of the 12-team College Football Playoff. This playoff format includes automatic bids for the top five conference champions and seven at-large selections. The anticipation for the playoff bracket will continue to grow throughout the season, providing more teams with a chance to compete for a national title than ever before.
Many expect the nation’s elite programs to consistently secure spots in the top 12. However, the expanded field allows for surprises, especially in the inaugural year of the new system. In the list below, The Athletic‘s college football writers share their picks for this season’s sleeper teams that could make a run for the College Football Playoff. Teams that were ranked in the preseason Coaches Poll or voted as preseason media poll champions were not considered.
The Hokies are poised to have their strongest team since Frank Beamer’s retirement. Quarterback Kyron Drones showed promise by leading Virginia Tech to five wins in their last seven games in 2023. With Drones’ impressive performance, coupled with a solid defensive unit led by Antwaun Powell-Ryland, the Hokies have the potential to surprise many. Their high returning roster production bodes well for their chances to be a dark horse contender in the 12-team playoff field. — Kyle Tucker
Iowa State returns nine starters on both offense and defense, including breakout quarterback Rocco Becht. With a favorable schedule ahead, the Cyclones could make waves in the playoff race this season. — Scott Dochterman
Jeff Brohm has set the Cardinals up for success with a strong defense and transfer quarterback Tyler Shough leading the offense. Louisville’s schedule provides ample opportunities to climb the rankings and potentially secure a playoff spot. — Jesse Temple
West Virginia, led by quarterback Garrett Greene, is a team to watch this season. With key matchups against top teams and a favorable home game schedule, the Mountaineers have a chance to make a statement on the national stage. — Audrey Snyder
UNLV, under head coach Barry Odom, has the potential to surprise many this season. Despite the challenge of replacing their starting quarterback, the Rebels have a talented roster that could make a strong playoff push. — Seth Emerson
With a solid defense and star quarterback Byrum Brown leading the offense, USF could be a team to watch in the playoff race. Tough nonconference games will test the Bulls, but their conference schedule offers opportunities for a late-season surge. — Chris Vannini
SMU
SMU, a newcomer to the ACC, had a strong showing last season and returns key players to their explosive offense. With quarterback Preston Stone leading the charge, the Mustangs are motivated to prove themselves to the playoff committee. — Jayna Bardahl
Tulane, under new coach Jon Sumrall, has the potential to make a splash this season. With a talented roster and key matchups on their schedule, the Green Wave could surprise many with a playoff run. — Sam Khan Jr.
Fresno State is poised for a solid season after a year that saw them secure nine wins, including victories over Power 5 schools. With quarterback Mikey Keene returning, the Bulldogs have the potential to make a playoff push, despite the coaching change. — Antonio Morales
(Top illustration photos: Chris Jones, Vincent Carchietta / USA Today)