As the 60th anniversary of diplomatic relations approaches, Chinese President Xi Jinping is set to visit Paris and the Pyrenees, a cherished childhood getaway of President Emmanuel Macron, in a bid to strengthen ties on a personal level. While the symbolism is important, the question remains – what practical outcomes can be expected from this official visit?
Xi’s visit comes shortly after German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s trip to China. Germany, as the economic powerhouse of Europe and China’s top trading partner within the EU, holds a significant position. Scholz’s focus on economic matters rather than strategic issues highlights the shifting dynamics influenced by China’s expanding aggressiveness in its region. With Xi leveraging competition between the EU’s key players following discussions with Germany, the visit aims to navigate these complex dynamics.
Notably, large German corporations like BASF continue to invest heavily in China, while European companies as a whole are trending towards disinvestment. China’s economic challenges are evident, prompting a shift towards a high-tech economy and increased exports in green technologies. This context sets the stage for Xi’s visit to Paris, where discussions on trade deficits and commercial practices will ensue, potentially leading to concessions or tensions based on mutual benefits.
Building on historical ties, Chinese leaders see France as a pivotal player, recalling the era of General de Gaulle as a golden age of relations. However, strategic balances have evolved significantly since then, shaping the current dynamics between China and France. As China asserts its global influence amid tensions and regional disputes, Paris remains cautious in its approach, seeking to find common ground while addressing sensitive issues.
The visit also holds implications for broader geopolitical issues, including Russia’s involvement in Ukraine and China’s strategic positioning in international affairs. Despite uncertainties, both China and European nations are navigating delicate alliances and power dynamics to advance their respective interests on the global stage.
In light of these complex dynamics, Paris faces the challenge of managing Xi’s visit effectively within the context of European unity and shared objectives. As discussions unfold, the EU’s collective voice will be crucial in engaging with China strategically and diplomatically, ensuring a coherent approach that aligns with broader geopolitical realities.